# Abstract:
Various scenarios for the UK’s power fleet composition in 2030 and 2040 were developed. Dispatch modelling in Plexos was carried out by Baringa on these fleets to investigate the role gas fed plants might have in future. This includes the ability to study load factors, stop/starts etc, and together with concomitant pricing, provide a picture of investment remuneration. The effect of key drivers is studied e.g. gas price.

# Context:
Increasing amounts of subsidised renewable power is reducing load factors of gas fired power generation. This work set out to get a view on whether new gas GT looked investible, and if GTs with CCS could expect reasonable load factors. The work concludes with a comparison of gas usage in three scenarios , the first being a continuation of current trends in fleet composition, the second where renewable lead the decarbonisation , and a third where baseload plants lead decarbonisation. Slidepack and excel formats are provided.

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